Mark Zandi said the risk of a US recession is rising, and flagged the exact level he thinks oil would need to hit to spur a ...

Some economists cautioned the U.S. economy would be able to absorb the shock of the Iran war.

Economists have pulled up their risk assessments of a contraction amid heightened uncertainty over geopolitical risk and a ...

Goldman Sachs lifted its 12-month US recession probability to 25 percent, up five points from January.

Rising oil prices and a slowing labor market could be the two forces that drag the US economy into a downturn, Mark Zandi ...

The bull case for economic growth has weakened as oil spikes. Goldman raised its recession odds this week and others see a ...

Moody’s Analytics model forecasts a 49% chance of a US recession in the next 12 months, the closest probability in years.

According to data from Polymarket, the probability of the US entering a recession in 2026 has climbed to 36%, signalling a ...

Will we see a recession in the US in 2026? Seeking Alpha analysts Damir Tokic and Ironman at Political Calculations weigh in with their thoughts. Damir Tokic: The probability of a recession in 2026 is ...

President Donald Trump gave the military its "final go order" on Feb. 27 to launch a US war on Iran, an attack that has sent gas prices higher in a crude oil price shock that could tip the global ...